Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Jump model final version posted

I've posted a new version of my jump model for cube decision points:

http://arxiv.org/abs/1203.5692

This version is quite similar to the last one, with just a few elaborations added after another set of very productive discussions with Rick Janowski. He's been a huge help in pulling this together.

I doubt this paper will change again, though I'll probably revisit the model in the future with another paper. Probably to focus on how to estimate the local jump volatility accurately.

2 comments:

  1. Hi again Mark!
    I'm finally trying to develop my own doubling algorithm for a bot of mine. At first glance I actually like this model. I have browsed your model paper and so far I like what I see. I will study this further. Sorry the late response. 4 years only. :-)

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    1. Hi! In the end I was underwhelmed by this model. It's a nice way of thinking about game evolution, but the right jump volatility depends a lot on game state, and it's hard to estimate. So getting anything better in practice than the original Janowski approximation is a lot of work.

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